Bottom Line
16th-percentile production model lands as a UDFA behind Kenneth Walker, Emari Demercado, and Brashard Smith on a Chiefs depth chart with only 15 vacated carries — the math here is brutal. Avoid in single-QB rookie drafts; deep-bench dart only in 20+ round formats.
Team Fit & Opportunity
Kansas City signed Ott as an undrafted free agent into arguably the worst landing spot for opportunity on his board. Kenneth Walker is the lead, Demercado is a proven rotational piece, and Brashard Smith is the satellite/passing-down option Andy Reid already invested in last year. With just 15 vacated carries and 30 vacated targets, there's no organic runway. Ott is competing with camp bodies for a practice squad spot, and any 2026 offensive role requires multiple injuries ahead of him.
Talent Profile
Ott's 9.37 RAS and 76th-percentile athleticism score are the only real selling points here. The efficiency profile is ugly across the board: -0.19 career RYOE/att and -0.12 YACoE/att say he wasn't creating after contact or beyond what blocking gave him at Oklahoma. The 0.21 BWOE/att hints at vision/decisiveness behind the line, and a 70th-percentile receiving score offers some third-down utility. But a 16th-percentile composite and RB17 of 25 in this class is a clear signal — the athletic testing didn't translate to college tape.
Strengths
- Receiving chops: 70th-percentile receiving score gives him a path to a passing-down role if he ever cracks a 53.
- Athletic baseline: 9.37 RAS and 76th-percentile athleticism score mean he'll test well enough to stick on a practice squad somewhere.
- Decision-making behind the LOS: 0.21 BWOE/att suggests he picks the right hole, even if he doesn't win after contact.
Concerns
- No efficiency anywhere that matters: -0.19 RYOE/att and -0.12 YACoE/att — he was actively below expectation as a runner against a middling 54th-percentile schedule.
- Roster math is a wall: Walker, Demercado, and Smith are all ahead, and KC's 15 vacated carries is among the lowest in the league.
- UDFA capital: Zero financial commitment from KC means he's cuttable on day one of camp without a second thought.
Historical Comp Read
The top comps — LeQuint Allen, Will Shipley, Tyler Goodson, Evan Hull — are a who's-who of receiving-back tweeners who haven't moved the dynasty needle. Goodson got cameos, Hull washed out, Shipley is a depth piece in Philly. The pattern is clear: athletic, pass-catching college backs without contact-balance production rarely escape RB4 duty in the NFL. The comp signal here is consistent with the model — fringe roster guy, not a sleeper.
Outlook
Year one is a practice squad battle, full stop. Three-year ceiling is a Demercado-style rotational change-of-pace if Walker leaves in free agency and Smith doesn't develop — call it RB50 in deep-PPR best-ball. Floor is out of the league by 2027. The catalyst is a Walker injury combined with Smith underperforming; the trigger is final cuts in August. Dynasty managers in 12-team formats shouldn't be rostering him.