Bottom Line
A 25th-percentile production model, 8.3 RAS, and zero receiving profile pegs Faison as a Day 3 power-back flier currently going off the board around pick 81 in rookie drafts. Fade in 1QB, late-dart only in deep devy/superflex.
Team Fit & Opportunity
Pre-draft profile with no NFL landing spot locked in, so fit is theoretical. Faison's 5'11"/218 frame and 28th-percentile WAA point to a complementary early-down/short-yardage role rather than a feature back. He'll need to land in a backfield with a clear vacated power role — think a team drafting him Day 3 to spell a pass-down specialist. Year-1 realistic outcome: third on the depth chart, ST contributor, sporadic goal-line work if injuries hit.
Talent Profile
The numbers tell a one-dimensional story: 0.63 YACoE/att and 0.56 BWOE/att flash genuine contact balance and tackle-breaking at 218 lbs, but a 0.03 EXPOE/att means almost nothing breaks for chunk yardage once he's past the first level. The 33rd-percentile athleticism score (8.3 RAS, 37.5" vert) confirms what the tape suggests — a dense, north-south runner without the long speed to threaten NFL second levels. The 0th-percentile receiving score is the killer in modern dynasty: he's a two-down back in a three-down league, against a 60th-percentile SOS that wasn't elite competition.
Strengths
- Contact balance through the tackle: 0.63 YACoE/att at 218 lbs translates to a back who falls forward and converts short-yardage with above-replacement consistency.
- Tackle-breaking volume: 0.56 BWOE/att indicates a runner who creates after contact, which has Day 3 NFL value in goal-line packages.
- Functional size for power role: 5'11"/218 with a 37.5" vert suggests adequate goal-line burst even if straight-line speed is unremarkable.
Concerns
- Zero receiving profile: 0th-percentile receiving score eliminates the third-down role that fuels modern fantasy RB scoring — this is a structural fantasy ceiling cap.
- No explosive plays: 0.03 EXPOE/att is replacement-level; he doesn't break long runs, which destroys week-winning upside even in committee work.
- Comp cohort is grim: Chris Rodriguez Jr., Kalel Mullings, Brittain Brown, Jordan Scarlett — none have produced fantasy-relevant NFL seasons.
Historical Comp Read
The Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Brittain Brown comps are damning — both were Day 3 power backs with similar size/contact profiles who never carved out standalone fantasy value despite landing on rosters with opportunity windows. Kalel Mullings is the most recent data point and trended the same direction. The signal here is consistent: this archetype — 218-lb, sub-35th-percentile athleticism, no receiving chops — has a near-zero hit rate as a fantasy asset over the last seven draft classes. The comps aren't noise.
Outlook
Year 1: practice squad to RB3, sub-50 carries, fantasy-irrelevant. Three-year arc: most likely outcome is journeyman backup who pops up on waiver wires after an injury and disappears two weeks later. The catalyst is landing as the lone power back behind a pass-catching starter on a run-heavy offense — that's the only path to standalone flex weeks. The trigger that collapses the floor is going undrafted or to a crowded backfield, in which case he's off rosters by camp 2027.